Bundesliga - Germany
Borussia Dortmund logo
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Sat, 17 January 2026 - 14:30 Stadium: Signal Iduna Park
FC St. Pauli logo
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund logo
Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli
Arsenal logo
Sat, 17 January 2026 - 14:30 Stadium: Signal Iduna Park

Prediction: Match Prediction for Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli

Match Preview & Tactical Insights

The match at Signal Iduna Park promises to be a tactical battle where Dortmund's control and aggression in possession will test St. Pauli's resilience and counter-attacking potential. Dortmund's high pressing and possession style will seek to dominate the midfield, whilst St. Pauli's quick transitions and defensive organization could create moments of danger. The tactical nuances, such as Dortmund's attacking full-backs and St. Pauli's structured midfield, are likely to determine the outcome of this eagerly awaited fixture.

Check out our complete thoughts below.

Dortmund vs St. Pauli Betting Preview

TipStrike Dortmund are strong favorites, with a 45% chance to win or draw, according to recent form and historical fixtures. The double chance bet on Dortmund or a draw offers safety, while the Asian Handicap -1 provides a balance between risk and reward. Both teams are capable of scoring, but Dortmund's recent clean sheet records could give them the edge.

Borussia Dortmund vs FC St. Pauli Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.

👉 Our prediction is: Goals Over/Under

The match is predicted to stay under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.10, reflecting a cautious expectation for a low-scoring game.

👉 Our prediction is: Betting Tips & Markets

Borussia Dortmund with a -1.25 Asian Handicap offers good value at odds of 1.75, suggesting they are expected to secure a narrow victory. The Total Goals Over/Under at 2.5 is favored to go under, with odds at 2.10, indicating a potentially tight contest.

👉 Our prediction is: Both Teams To Score (BTTS)

Both teams have shown offensive potential, but Dortmund's defensive resilience and FC St. Pauli's inconsistency make both teams scoring a plausible outcome, with odds at 2.00.

👉 Our prediction is: First Half & Full Time Prediction

Dortmund are likely to lead at halftime and potentially maintain their advantage throughout, with the halftime/fulltime win prediction favoring Dortmund to be leading at both stages.

Expert Betting Forecast for Dortmund vs St. Pauli

The upcoming Bundesliga fixture at Signal Iduna Park on January 17, 2026, is expected to favor Borussia Dortmund, who are slightly superior in recent form and head-to-head record. Dortmund's attacking options and solid home record give them an edge to win, likely with a narrow margin.

Recent Head-to-Head Results

In their last five encounters at Signal Iduna Park and in previous fixtures, Borussia Dortmund have emerged victorious more frequently, with recent results favoring a narrow win or a draw, maintaining a strong home record against FC St. Pauli.

Player Absences and Tactics

Nico Schlotterbeck, a key defender for Dortmund, is missing this fixture due to jumper's knee, which could impact Dortmund's defensive stability. FC St. Pauli are expected to field their usual squad with no major injury concerns.

Predicted Lineups & Tactical Comparison

Dortmund are likely to set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing possession and a structured build-up, while FC St. Pauli might deploy a compact 3-4-1-2, focusing on counter-attacks. Dortmund typically press heavily when out of possession, contrasting with St. Pauli's more reactive approach, which could influence the game's flow and outcome.

Team Form & Predictions

Borussia Dortmund have shown consistent form, winning 73% of recent matches, and maintaining a strong home record with 5 wins out of 7 games. FC St. Pauli, however, struggle for form, with only 33% recent wins and some recent heavy defeats, which may affect their confidence going into this match.

Dortmund vs St. Pauli: Expert Prediction & Betting Tips

See below all the main information for this match.

The match is scheduled for January 17, 2026, at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are favored to win, with a high probability based on recent form and head-to-head results, but FC St. Pauli can challenge, especially given their history of unpredictable results.

Today's Predictions