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The match at Signal Iduna Park promises to be a tactical battle where Dortmund's control and aggression in possession will test St. Pauli's resilience and counter-attacking potential. Dortmund's high pressing and possession style will seek to dominate the midfield, whilst St. Pauli's quick transitions and defensive organization could create moments of danger. The tactical nuances, such as Dortmund's attacking full-backs and St. Pauli's structured midfield, are likely to determine the outcome of this eagerly awaited fixture.
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These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
The match is predicted to stay under 2.5 goals at odds of 2.10, reflecting a cautious expectation for a low-scoring game.
Borussia Dortmund with a -1.25 Asian Handicap offers good value at odds of 1.75, suggesting they are expected to secure a narrow victory. The Total Goals Over/Under at 2.5 is favored to go under, with odds at 2.10, indicating a potentially tight contest.
Both teams have shown offensive potential, but Dortmund's defensive resilience and FC St. Pauli's inconsistency make both teams scoring a plausible outcome, with odds at 2.00.
Dortmund are likely to lead at halftime and potentially maintain their advantage throughout, with the halftime/fulltime win prediction favoring Dortmund to be leading at both stages.
The upcoming Bundesliga fixture at Signal Iduna Park on January 17, 2026, is expected to favor Borussia Dortmund, who are slightly superior in recent form and head-to-head record. Dortmund's attacking options and solid home record give them an edge to win, likely with a narrow margin.
In their last five encounters at Signal Iduna Park and in previous fixtures, Borussia Dortmund have emerged victorious more frequently, with recent results favoring a narrow win or a draw, maintaining a strong home record against FC St. Pauli.
Nico Schlotterbeck, a key defender for Dortmund, is missing this fixture due to jumper's knee, which could impact Dortmund's defensive stability. FC St. Pauli are expected to field their usual squad with no major injury concerns.
Dortmund are likely to set up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing possession and a structured build-up, while FC St. Pauli might deploy a compact 3-4-1-2, focusing on counter-attacks. Dortmund typically press heavily when out of possession, contrasting with St. Pauli's more reactive approach, which could influence the game's flow and outcome.
Borussia Dortmund have shown consistent form, winning 73% of recent matches, and maintaining a strong home record with 5 wins out of 7 games. FC St. Pauli, however, struggle for form, with only 33% recent wins and some recent heavy defeats, which may affect their confidence going into this match.
See below all the main information for this match.
The match is scheduled for January 17, 2026, at Signal Iduna Park. Borussia Dortmund are favored to win, with a high probability based on recent form and head-to-head results, but FC St. Pauli can challenge, especially given their history of unpredictable results.