Everton vs Aston Villa on September 13 promises an intriguing tactical duel. Everton typically prefers possession-based play with a 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on controlling the midfield and creating scoring chances. Villa also employs a 4-2-3-1 but often leans on quick counter-attacks, especially away from home. Everton’s pressing intensity is moderate, aiming to regain possession quickly without overly committing players forward. In contrast, Villa's pressing is more reactive, waiting to exploit turnover opportunities. These tactical differences suggest Everton might dominate possession and control the game pace, while Villa will look for moments to counter swiftly. The game could hinge on Everton's ability to break down Villa's counter and whether Villa can capitalize on defensive lapses.
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These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Both teams have struggled to consistently score, making Both Teams To Score (BTTS) less likely, especially given Villa's away form and Everton's defensive resilience.
A small bias towards Everton to lead at halftime, given their stronger start in recent matches. Full-time, Everton is expected to maintain the lead or secure victory.
The total goals are predicted to be under 3.5, reflecting both teams' recent defensive and scoring trends. Expect a tightly contested game.
Looking at the Asian handicap, Everton is favored with a -1.0 line, considering their recent form and home advantage. The under 3.5 goals market also aligns with the expectation of a controlled game.
On September 13, Everton hosts Aston Villa at Hill Dickinson Stadium with a forecast of Everton victory by more than 3.5 goals. Everton's recent form and Villa's away struggles support this prediction, which anticipates a controlled game with limited scoring.
Everton has a slight edge historically, with recent head-to-head results showing Everton winning more often at home and Villa struggling away. Villa’s last away victory was in 2019, making Everton the favored side.
Everton will be without N. Patterson due to a muscle bruise and J. Branthwaite with a hamstring injury. Aston Villa has no key absences reported.
Both teams are expected to deploy the 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing geographical control and attacking options. Everton's midfield is likely to focus on possession, while Villa might rely on counter-attacking strategies.
Everton is in stable form with a 67% recent performance rating over last 3 matches, while Aston Villa has struggled persistently, reflected in an 11% recent form and a poor away record. This disparity adds to Everton's edge.
See below all the main information for this match.
Everton is slightly favored with a 45% win probability based on recent form, but the prediction favors a victory for Everton with a margin of more than 3.5 goals, primarily due to Villa's inconsistent results and Everton's stable recent performance.
Everton's current form and home advantage suggest a likely win, with a forecast of more than 3.5 goals scored in total. Villa's recent struggles away from home support this prediction.
Everton's defensive stability and Villa's attack struggles make a high-scoring game unlikely, favoring a lower goal count. However, Everton's attack may overpower Villa if they capitalize on errors.