TipStrike

Primera A — Colombia

Alianza Valledupar logo Alianza Valledupar
1–2 Full time Mon, 09 Nov 2026
Llaneros logo Llaneros
  1. 5' Yellow card: J. Pertuz (Llaneros)
  2. 16' Goal: J. Castilla (Llaneros)
  3. 21' Goal: M. Martinez (Alianza Valledupar)
  4. 35' Penalty goal: Jhon Vasquez (Llaneros)
  5. 41' Yellow card: D. Quintero (Llaneros)
  6. HT 1–2
  7. 70' Yellow card: J. Castillo (Alianza Valledupar)
  8. 84' Yellow card: M. Sierra (Llaneros)
  9. 90+3' Yellow card: J. E. Perez Balcazar (Alianza Valledupar)
  10. FT 1–2

Prediction: Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros Betting Tips

Match prediction and best bets

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros betting tips point to a home-or-draw lean for this Primera A Clausura fixture on 9 November 2026 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar. Our predictions weigh Alianza’s 45% win chance and the 45% draw probability against Llaneros’ 10%; the best bets focus on protecting against an away win and keeping goals expectations measured. The picks include estimated odds and a mix of safer options and higher-risk value picks.

TipStrike Pick Total Goals Over/Under Under 2.5 Odd 1.62

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

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Double Chance
Alianza Valledupar or draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.05
Total Goals Over/Under
Under 2.5
Tipstrike odd: 1.62
Both Teams to Score
No
Tipstrike odd: 1.62
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Primera A detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17 20 -3 22 W W L L W
17 Alianza Valledupar 19 3 8 8 13 27 -14 17 L L L W W
Alianza Valledupar stats
MP W D L
Overall 37 8 11 18
Home 19 4 8 7
Away 18 4 3 11
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Llaneros stats
MP W D L
Overall 37 11 12 14
Home 18 6 7 5
Away 19 5 5 9
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Alianza Valledupar Llaneros Alianza Valledupar Llaneros
0.5 goals 24 27 13 10
1.5 goals 6 9 31 28
2.5 goals 1 2 36 35
3.5 goals 0 0 37 37
4.5 goals 0 0 37 37
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Alianza Valledupar Llaneros Alianza Valledupar Llaneros
0.5 goals 29 27 8 10
1.5 goals 16 14 21 23
2.5 goals 8 3 29 34
3.5 goals 3 0 34 37
4.5 goals 2 0 35 37

PPG

Per match

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Cards

Per match

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Goals scored

Per match

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Goals conceded

Per match

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Best scoring interval

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Most conceded interval

Alianza Valledupar 0
Llaneros 0
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Alianza Valledupar cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
Red cards
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
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Llaneros cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
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Formations
Alianza Valledupar
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Llaneros
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Why this match sets up this way

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros is scheduled for 9 November 2026 at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau in Valledupar, in Colombia’s Primera A Clausura, Round 18. The supplied forecast gives Alianza a 45% win chance, the draw 45% and Llaneros 10%, making Alianza or draw the clearest result lean. Both sides have drawn frequently in their season records: 11 draws for Alianza and 12 for Llaneros across 36 league matches. Their last three meetings finished 0-0, 3-1 and 1-0, a mixed but generally low-scoring H2H sample. The form comparison also edges Alianza, 54% to 46%, with a stronger attack and defence in the supplied comparison data.

Team news and squad impact

Squad lists are provided for both teams, but there is no accompanying injury, suspension or doubtful-player information. No named player should therefore be treated as confirmed unavailable or guaranteed to start. Alianza’s recent five-match figures show five goals for and five against; Llaneros have scored four and conceded seven over the same span. Those recent returns reinforce the home-or-draw and cautious-goals selections, without establishing a clear personnel advantage.

Tactical betting angle

The strongest betting angle is protection against an away win: Alianza or draw combines the forecast’s 45% home probability and 45% draw probability. Goals markets also merit attention. Alianza average 0.9 goals at home and Llaneros average 0.8 away; their last five produced 1.0 and 0.8 goals per match respectively. Both teams’ season records show few matches with three or more goals for either side, while the latest H2H ended 0-0. That supports a cautious under-goals lean, though Alianza’s 3-1 home win in the 2025 meeting is a reminder that a higher total is possible. The data lists 4-2-3-1 as the most-used formation for both teams, but does not provide enough match-level evidence to claim a particular tactical style. Market map — the estimated picks below cover Double Chance, Total Goals Over/Under, Both Teams to Score, Draw No Bet, Team Total Goals, First Half Goals, Correct Score and Win to Nil. There is no supplied injury report, so no absences can be confirmed; the listed squads provide player availability context but do not identify likely starters.

Game-state scenarios

If Alianza Valledupar score first, Llaneros’ away scoring average of 0.8 per game and the prediction’s 10% away-win probability support a home-protection angle rather than expecting a high-scoring response. If the match is level at half-time, the recent 0-0 H2H and the 45% draw probability make a stalemate a credible path. Alianza’s league goals conceded are most concentrated from 31–45 minutes, while both teams have scored in the final quarter-hour in their season data, so a late goal remains possible—but the figures do not justify treating one as certain.

Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros FAQs

What is the main prediction for Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
Alianza Valledupar or draw is the main result lean. The supplied probabilities put the home side and draw at 45% each, with Llaneros at 10%.
Are goals expected in Alianza Valledupar vs Llaneros?
A low-scoring game is a reasonable angle: both teams have modest recent scoring averages, and two of the last three H2H meetings finished 0-0 and 1-0. The 3-1 result in the other meeting means a higher total cannot be ruled out.
Are the odds for this match confirmed?
The prices shown are estimates for the listed selections. Treat them as indicative rather than as confirmed market prices.