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On September 20, 2026, Atletico Madrid hosts Real Madrid at the Metropolitano Stadium in La Liga's seventh round. Given recent form and squad news, a close contest with an emphasis on the double chance market looks promising. Check our best bets and odds to find value in this Madrid derby.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 16 | W W W L W |
| 4 |
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 15 | L W W L W |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Home | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Away | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Home | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Away | 0% | 50% | 50% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Home | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Away | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25% | 50% | 25% |
| Home | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| Away | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid takes place at the Metropolitano Stadium. Atletico's recent form in La Liga is 67% and they are defensively solid at home with only 2 goals conceded across the last 3 matches. Real Madrid, with a recent 80% form, is known for attacking prowess and strong performances away.
Atletico Madrid faces squad limitations with J. Alvarez, P. Barrios, and A. Sorloth out due to muscle injuries, combined with no suspensions. Real Madrid is also missing key defenders Eder Militao, F. Mendy, and Rodrygo, all due to injuries. These absences may impact defensive solidity for both sides and open space for attacking opportunities.
If Atletico Madrid scores first, the match could open up as both teams are capable of responding quickly, often leading to goals in the latter stages. A draw seems highly plausible given recent form, but expect a tight contest with chances for both sides. A late goal scenario favors Real Madrid, especially considering their recent comebacks.
Both teams prefer possession-based approaches, with Atletico often pressing high and Real Madrid utilizing quick transitions. Expect tight marking and set-piece opportunities. The match could hinge on discipline; a card for key players might influence the direction, especially given recent caution trends.
The match is scheduled for September 20, 2026, at 14:15 UTC at the Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, in La Liga's seventh round.
Based on recent form and predicted scorelines, Atletico Madrid has about a 35% chance to win, with a 35% chance of a draw, and a 30% chance for Real Madrid to win. Expect a close contest with a potential for goals from both teams.
The main recommendation is the Double Chance: Atletico Madrid or draw, given Atletico's strong home form and recent competitive matches. Also, consider goals over 2.5, reflecting both teams' offensive capabilities.