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On April 12, 2026, at Arena da Baixada, Atletico Paranaense faces Chapecoense-sc in Serie A Brazil. Based on recent form, head-to-head advantage, and squad updates, the main lean is in favor of Atletico Paranaense to secure a win or draw. This prediction page provides the best betting tips, odds, and value picks for this encounter.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 16 | L L W W W |
| 17 |
|
9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 8 | D L L D D |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Home | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| Home | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| Away | 20% | 60% | 20% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Home | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
| Away | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11% | 44% | 44% |
| Home | 17% | 50% | 33% |
| Away | 0% | 33% | 67% |
Atletico Paranaense are in strong recent form at home with four wins in five, and a solid 75% form overall. Chapecoense-sc are struggling, with just 1 win in their last 9 fixtures and recent injuries impacting squad depth. The home side holds a significant edge in form, head-to-head, and expected goals.
Atletico Paranaense face some injury concerns with C. Teran Questionable, but their squad remains largely intact and in good form. Chapecoense-sc are missing key players like Mauricio Garcez and Everton, adding to offensive struggles and defensive inconsistencies. These factors favor Atletico Paranaense’s attacking potential.
If Atletico Paranaense scores first in the match at Arena da Baixada, the game is likely to open up, pushing Chapecoense to chase an equalizer, which could lead to more open play. If the match is level at halftime, expect a tightly contested second half. Late goals trend favors Atletico Paranaense, who have scored 4 goals after the 76th minute in recent home fixtures, making late betting on them as last scorers a valuable angle.
Expect Atletico Paranaense to press high given their aggressive pressing and high home win percentage. They often create chances early with a proactive style, aiming for early goals that could shift game momentum. Chapecoense-sc's injuries and recent struggles suggest a tough outing, making the home side’s goal-scoring potential a key focus.
See below all the main information for this match.
The match at Arena da Baixada is set for April 12, 2026, as part of the Serie A season in Brazil. Home advantage and form favor Atletico Paranaense, who are likely to dominate possession and aim to control the game.
Recent head-to-heads show Atletico Paranaense often winning, with the latest fixture ending 3-2. Their strong form and home running give them an advantage in predicting the outcome.
The predicted chance of an Atletico Paranaense win is around 45%, with a draw at 45%, and a Chapecoense-sc win at only 10%. Expect Atletico to be favorites and potentially cover the -1.5 goals line.