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On February 17, 2026, Benfica welcomes Real Madrid in a crucial UEFA Champions League Round of 32 clash in Lisbon. The main lean is towards Benfica to avoid defeat and see over 1.5 goals, based on recent form and head-to-head history. This prediction page highlights key insights, safe bets, and value picks for bettors.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 |
|
8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 15 | L W L W L |
| 24 |
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 9 | W L W W L |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
| Home | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Away | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 46% | 8% | 46% |
| Home | 43% | 29% | 29% |
| Away | 50% | 17% | 67% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 |
| Home | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 36% | 55% | 9% |
| Home | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Away | 40% | 40% | 20% |
Benfica vs Real Madrid on February 17, 2026, in Lisbon, is a vital round of 32 encounter. Benfica's recent form is 60%, and they hold a strong home record. Real Madrid, with a 40% recent form, will aim to leverage their attacking firepower. Injuries may impact both sides, but Benfica's squad is relatively intact compared to Madrid's key absences.
Benfica faces injuries to N. Felix, R. Rios, and S. Soares, weakening their attacking options. However, their squad remains competitive, especially at home. Real Madrid misses J. Bellingham and Eder Militao, affecting midfield control and defense, which could open opportunities for Benfica’s attack.
Benfica vs Real Madrid promises a competitive encounter, with Benfica's recent form and previous H2H suggest a close match. Expect Benfica to be resilient at home, but Real Madrid's attacking potency keeps the game open for goals. If Benfica scores first, they could defend more tightly; if Real Madrid scores early, they may push for an away win.
Benfica’s solid defense at home (6 goals conceded in last 5 matches) combined with their ability to create chances suggests a cautious approach from Madrid might be necessary. Real Madrid’s offensive stats indicate they are capable of scoring multiple goals, but Benfica's resilience could limit this. Betting on a draw or Benfica win with +1.5 goals offers significant safety.
See below all the main information for this match.
Benfica’s recent home form, previous head-to-head success, and injury situation favor a cautious approach but suggest potential for at least a draw with over 1.5 goals.
The key factors include Benfica's solid home form, Madrid's injury issues, and the previous match where Benfica won 4-2. Expect a competitive, goal-rich encounter.