The fixture at Turf Moor sees Arsenal aiming to extend their winning streak against Burnley. Arsenal's potent attack of Martinelli, Saka, and Ødegaard faces a Burnley team that will likely stay compact defensively, relying on counter-attacks. The tactical matchup will pit Arsenal's possession-based approach against Burnley's organized defensive setup. Arsenal’s formation typically lends itself to a high-press, possession-oriented game, seeking dominance in territory. Burnley, meanwhile, prefers a more counter-attacking style, looking to absorb pressure and hit on the break with quick transitions. Arsenal’s pressing intensity is higher, often forcing turnovers in advanced areas, which should open scoring opportunities. Burnley's disciplined, deep-lying defense aims to frustrate Arsenal and capitalize on turnovers. The tactical differences suggest a game where Arsenal will dominate possession and look for early goals, while Burnley relies on disciplined defending and quick counters, requiring Arsenal to unlock a resilient defense to clinch the victory.
Check out our complete thoughts below.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Both teams have scored in recent matches, but Burnley's recent defensive struggles suggest BTTS & over 2.5 goals could be a viable betting option.
A small handicap favoring Arsenal (-1.5) is likely to be successful considering their recent strong attacking form. Burnley's defensive fragility at home supports an Asian handicap bet on Arsenal.
Arsenal is likely to lead at halftime and maintain that lead full-time, considering their dominant recent performances and Burnley's slower starts in recent fixtures.
Over 2.5 goals appears to be the best forecast given Arsenal's attacking strength and Burnley's conceding tendencies.
On November 1, Arsenal is expected to secure a convincing victory over Burnley, owing to their superior form, attacking prowess, and recent dominance in head-to-head encounters. Burnley's limited offensive output and injury issues suggest a tough challenge ahead.
Arsenal has a commanding record in recent head-to-head matches against Burnley, winning the majority including a 5-0 victory at Turf Moor in 2024 and other dominant performances. Burnley's last victory was in 2021 at home.
B. Humphreys from Burnley is missing this fixture due to thigh problems. Arsenal's squad appears intact with no key injuries reported.
Arsenal is expected to line up in a 4-3-3 or similar attacking formation, with their offensive trio of Martinelli, Saka, and Trossard likely to feature prominently. Burnley might opt for a 5-4-1 or 4-2-3-1, emphasizing defensive solidity.
Arsenal boasts a recent form of 87%, with an 85% win rate in recent fixtures, whereas Burnley's form is notably weaker at 47%. Arsenal’s attacking metrics and defensive stability now give them a clear edge.
See below all the main information for this match.
Burnley has struggled offensively and defensively recently, with a form rate of 47% and conceding an average of 2 goals per game. Arsenal, however, boasts a much stronger recent record, with an 87% form rate and a solid defense, making them favorites.
Burnley faces suspension concerns with B. Humphreys missing the fixture due to thigh problems. Arsenal has no key absences listed, indicating they will likely field their strongest lineup.
Based on past results, Arsenal has dominated their encounters with Burnley, winning 85% of recent head-to-head matches including a 5-0 victory at Turf Moor in 2024. Burnley’s last win over Arsenal was at home in 2021.
Given Arsenal's current form and historical dominance over Burnley, they are expected to continue their winning streak, but Burnley's resilience, especially at Turf Moor, could provide some resistance, making a clear victory probable but not guaranteed.
