Prediction: Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Tips: Predictions & Best Bets
Burnley vs Aston Villa betting tips, predictions, odds, value picks
On May 10, 2026, at Turf Moor, Burnley hosts Aston Villa in a pivotal Premier League fixture. Aston Villa is the clear favorite, especially considering recent form, head-to-head results, and injury reports. This prediction page highlights the best betting opportunities, key stats, and tactical insights to inform your bets on Burnley vs Aston Villa. Whether you're looking for value bets or safer options, our data-driven analysis guides you to the best choices for this match.
Burnley vs Aston Villa Betting Tips
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.
Premier League detailed statistics
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 48 | 6 | 62 | W D L L W |
| 19 |
|
37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 21 | L D L L L |
| MP | W | D | L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 |
| Home | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 |
| Away | 19 | 2 | 3 | 14 |
| CS | BTTS | FTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Home | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Away | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| MP | W | D | L | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Home | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Away | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| CS | BTTS | FTS | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Home | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Away | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 goals | 23 | 2 | 14 | 3 |
| 1.5 goals | 11 | 1 | 26 | 4 |
| 2.5 goals | 3 | 1 | 34 | 4 |
| 3.5 goals | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 |
| 4.5 goals | 0 | 0 | 37 | 5 |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 goals | 33 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| 1.5 goals | 25 | 3 | 12 | 2 |
| 2.5 goals | 12 | 1 | 25 | 4 |
| 3.5 goals | 3 | 1 | 34 | 4 |
| 4.5 goals | 1 | 0 | 36 | 5 |
PPG
Per match
Cards
Per match
Goals scored
Per match
Goals conceded
Per match
Best scoring interval
Most conceded interval
| Formation | Matches played |
|---|---|
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
| Formation | Matches played |
|---|---|
| 0-0-0-0 | 0 |
Match setup and recent form highlights
Enjoying good recent form, Aston Villa will look to extend their winning streak against Burnley, who face injury setbacks and poor home form. Burnley's defense has been fragile, conceding over 2 goals per game lately, while Villa's attack is second-best in the league during recent fixtures. The turf Moor battle sets the scene for a tense contest where Villa's attacking depth and Burnley's injury absences could tip the balance.
Team news and injury updates
Both teams face injury issues, with Burnley missing key midfielders J. Cullen and C. Roberts, which hampers their creative and defensive stability. Aston Villa's absence of Alysson and B. Kamara further weakens their midfield options, but their attacking lineup remains potent. These injury absences are likely to reduce overall defensive resilience for both sides, making the Over 2.5 goals market attractive for bettors.
Tactical angles and betting considerations
Aston Villa's recent formations have been flexible but often feature a 4-2-3-1, emphasizing possession and set-piece efficiency. Burnley's focus on compact defending and counter-attacks may lead to an almost balanced match in tempo, but Villa's ability to create chances from wide areas could prove decisive. Expect Villa’s structured pressing to disrupt Burnley's build-up, providing opportunities for turnovers near the box, especially with Villa's disciplined approach to defending set pieces.
Game scenarios based on recent form and head-to-head
Given the recent head-to-head history and current form, Aston Villa looks well-positioned to continue their positive run against Burnley. The last fixture saw Villa narrowly winning 2-1 at Villa Park, with Villa maintaining good form at Turf Moor in recent visits. Burnley has struggled offensively and defensively recently, especially at home where they have conceded multiple goals in previous matches. If Aston Villa scores first, they tend to hold their lead, but Burnley's resilience on the road suggests a likely narrow victory or a draw if Burnley opens well. Expect a disciplined game with set-piece opportunities and disciplined defending from both sides.