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On May 10, 2026, at Turf Moor, Burnley hosts Aston Villa in a pivotal Premier League fixture. Aston Villa is the clear favorite, especially considering recent form, head-to-head results, and injury reports. This prediction page highlights the best betting opportunities, key stats, and tactical insights to inform your bets on Burnley vs Aston Villa. Whether you're looking for value bets or safer options, our data-driven analysis guides you to the best choices for this match.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
|
35 | 17 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 44 | 4 | 58 | L L W D W |
| 19 |
|
35 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 71 | -36 | 20 | L L L L L |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35 | 4 | 8 | 23 |
| Home | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 |
| Away | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11% | 51% | 37% |
| Home | 24% | 24% | 53% |
| Away | 0% | 78% | 22% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35 | 17 | 7 | 11 |
| Home | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 |
| Away | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26% | 46% | 29% |
| Home | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| Away | 18% | 47% | 35% |
Enjoying good recent form, Aston Villa will look to extend their winning streak against Burnley, who face injury setbacks and poor home form. Burnley's defense has been fragile, conceding over 2 goals per game lately, while Villa's attack is second-best in the league during recent fixtures. The turf Moor battle sets the scene for a tense contest where Villa's attacking depth and Burnley's injury absences could tip the balance.
Both teams face injury issues, with Burnley missing key midfielders J. Cullen and C. Roberts, which hampers their creative and defensive stability. Aston Villa's absence of Alysson and B. Kamara further weakens their midfield options, but their attacking lineup remains potent. These injury absences are likely to reduce overall defensive resilience for both sides, making the Over 2.5 goals market attractive for bettors.
Given the recent head-to-head history and current form, Aston Villa looks well-positioned to continue their positive run against Burnley. The last fixture saw Villa narrowly winning 2-1 at Villa Park, with Villa maintaining good form at Turf Moor in recent visits. Burnley has struggled offensively and defensively recently, especially at home where they have conceded multiple goals in previous matches. If Aston Villa scores first, they tend to hold their lead, but Burnley's resilience on the road suggests a likely narrow victory or a draw if Burnley opens well. Expect a disciplined game with set-piece opportunities and disciplined defending from both sides.
Aston Villa's recent formations have been flexible but often feature a 4-2-3-1, emphasizing possession and set-piece efficiency. Burnley's focus on compact defending and counter-attacks may lead to an almost balanced match in tempo, but Villa's ability to create chances from wide areas could prove decisive. Expect Villa’s structured pressing to disrupt Burnley's build-up, providing opportunities for turnovers near the box, especially with Villa's disciplined approach to defending set pieces.
See below all the main information for this match.
The match is scheduled for May 10, 2026, at Turf Moor, Burnley with a main lean towards an Aston Villa win or draw, with a focus on goals despite injury concerns.
Aston Villa is likely to continue their winning streak, with a strong chance of scoring over 1.5 goals, based on recent form and head-to-head results.
Expect a disciplined game with possible set-piece opportunities, especially if Villa manages to break down Burnley's defense early.