TipStrike

Primera División - Apertura — Uruguay

Cerro Largo logo Cerro Largo
vs Mon, 11 May 2026 23:30 Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Penarol logo Penarol

Prediction: Cerro Largo vs Penarol Betting Tips

Match overview and betting lean

On May 11, 2026, Cerro Largo faces Penarol at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla in the Primera División Apertura. Penarol are slight favorites, but recent form suggests a cautious play. Expect a low-scoring, tightly fought game leaning slightly towards Penarol and under 3.5 goals.

TipStrike Pick Goals - Under/Over Under 3.5 goals Odd 1.52

Cerro Largo vs Penarol Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

Win/Draw/Win
Draw or Penarol Tipstrike odd: 45.00
Goals - Under/Over
Under 3.5 goals Tipstrike odd: 1.52
Both Teams to Score
No Tipstrike odd: 1.80
Goalscorer - Penarol
G. Viera Tipstrike odd: 2.50
First Goalscorer
G. Viera Tipstrike odd: 3.20
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Please login to your account Tipstrike odd: — Sign up for free You need to be logged in to see additional tips
Please login to your account Tipstrike odd: — Sign up for free You need to be logged in to see additional tips
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Primera División - Apertura detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Penarol 32 19 7 6 51 26 25 63 D W D W W
14 Cerro Largo 31 8 9 14 29 36 -7 33 L L L D L
Cerro Largo stats
MP W D L
Overall 31 8 9 14
Home 15 4 6 5
Away 16 4 3 9
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Penarol stats
MP W D L
Overall 32 20 6 6
Home 17 10 3 4
Away 15 10 3 2
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Cerro Largo Penarol Cerro Largo Penarol
0.5 goals 19 27 12 5
1.5 goals 7 17 24 15
2.5 goals 3 8 28 24
3.5 goals 0 2 31 30
4.5 goals 0 1 31 31
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Cerro Largo Penarol Cerro Largo Penarol
0.5 goals 23 21 8 11
1.5 goals 10 5 21 27
2.5 goals 3 0 28 32
3.5 goals 0 0 31 32
4.5 goals 0 0 31 32

Best scoring interval

Cerro Largo 0
Penarol 0
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Most conceded interval

Cerro Largo 0
Penarol 0
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Cerro Largo cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
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0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
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0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
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Penarol cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
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0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
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Formations
Cerro Largo
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Penarol
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Match setup and recent form overview

Cerro Largo vs Penarol takes place at Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla with Cerro Largo aiming to extend their home streaks. Recent form shows Cerro Largo's defense can be vulnerable, but their home record and prior performance suggest resilience. Penarol, on the other hand, has displayed consistent away form and a strong recent h2h record.

Team news outlook for Cerro Largo vs Penarol

Cerro Largo's squad is stable with key defenders and midfielders available, although their defensive record could be impacted by recent injuries. Penarol has crucial players returning from suspension, strengthening their attacking options. Both teams are motivated, but defensive solidity may be decisive.

Tactical angles for betting on Cerro Largo vs Penarol

Cerro Largo's defensive setup at home tends to focus on set-pieces and disciplined pressing, which could limit Penarol's attacking chances. Penarol prefers quick transitions and pressing high, which might create opportunities on the break. Expect a cautious approach from Cerro Largo, favoring under 3.5 goals and focusing on chances from set-pieces.

Match scenario analysis for Cerro Largo vs Penarol

If Cerro Largo scores first against Penarol, expect them to defend deep and seek counter opportunities, given their recent form and head-to-head trends. Penarol may respond with increased pressure, possibly leading to late goals. The match could stay tight if Cerro Largo maintains discipline, but early Cerro Largo goals typically lead to lower scoring situations.

FAQs for Cerro Largo vs Penarol Prediction

What is the main betting angle for Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
This match is expected to be tightly contested, with a slight lean towards Penarol due to their recent form and head-to-head record. A conservative bet on a draw or Penarol, combined with under 3.5 goals, aligns with the data.
Who is more likely to win Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
Penarol has been more successful in recent away fixtures and holds a strong head-to-head advantage, especially in the last encounters.
What is a good safe bet for goals in Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
Considering both teams' recent scoring records and defensive stats, under 3.5 goals appears to be a safe market.
How can second-half betting be advantageous in Cerro Largo vs Penarol?
Late goals are common in this fixture, especially Penarol’s ability to score in the second half.