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On February 10 at Stamford Bridge, Chelsea hosts Leeds in a highly anticipated Premier League fixture. Based on recent form, head-to-head stats, and squad health, the best betting tips suggest Chelsea to avoid defeat, with potential for multiple goals. Explore our detailed analysis and value bets for this London showdown.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Chelsea
Stats
|
Chelsea
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 |
| Home | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
| Away | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
|
Chelsea
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 38% | 54% | 8% |
| Home | 42% | 50% | 8% |
| Away | 33% | 58% | 8% |
Leeds
Stats
|
Leeds
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Home | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| Away | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 |
|
Leeds
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16% | 56% | 28% |
| Home | 23% | 62% | 15% |
| Away | 8% | 50% | 42% |
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea
Leeds
Chelsea enters this fixture with a strong recent form (67%), and a solid home record, winning 6 of 12 matches at Stamford Bridge. Leeds, on the other hand, boasts a 33% form over their last 5 games and has shown resilience at home with 4 wins. Recent H2H results favor Chelsea historically, but Leeds' recent 3-1 home victory in December 2025 indicates they can challenge. Injuries are minimal in both squads, allowing for full-strength lineups to entertain supporters and bettors.
Chelsea’s squad is healthy with key players like Caicedo and Lavia available. Leeds’ squad faces minimal injury concerns, with Lucas Perri expected to start in goal. Both teams’ lineups will aim to capitalize on their strengths — Chelsea’s organized defense and creative attack, and Leeds’ pressing game. Expect Chelsea to rely on their midfield control and structured build-up, providing value in goal markets and half-time results.
If Chelsea scores first in the match at Stamford Bridge on February 10, the home team is likely to maintain control based on recent form and historical H2H success. Alternatively, if Leeds takes an early lead, expect a tight contest with potential for late goals, considering Leeds' strong home record and recent high-scoring fixtures. If the match is level at halftime, the second half could open up with both teams push for a win, but Chelsea's dominant recent performances suggest they may secure the full-time result.
Chelsea typically deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, which emphasizes control of possession and quick transition play. Expect Chelsea to dominate midfield and exploit set-pieces, especially given Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities. Leeds may adopt a more cautious approach, aiming for counters and set-pieces to maximize scoring opportunities. The tempo of the game will likely be balanced, but Chelsea's slightly superior attacking statistics suggest a focus on over goals markets and betting on Chelsea to win or draw.
See below all the main information for this match.
Chelsea are slight favorites at Stamford Bridge, with a 45% probability to win, but the draw has the same likelihood, making double chance bets appealing.
Based on recent form and head-to-head results, Chelsea is more likely to win or draw, with a combined probability of 90% when using the double chance market.
Over 1.5 goals is a strong possibility given Chelsea's offensive output and recent Leeds matches, with odds at 1.19 for over 1.5 goals.
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