Championship - England
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Derby vs Millwall Wed, 10 December 2025 - 19:45 Stadium: Pride Park
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Championship
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Derby vs Millwall
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Wed, 10 December 2025 - 19:45 Stadium: Pride Park

Prediction: Derby vs Millwall: Expert Match Prediction & Tactical Analysis

Match Preview & Tactical Analysis

The upcoming clash at Pride Park between Derby and Millwall promises a tactical duel. Derby may press high early, but injuries strengthen Millwall's counter-attacking style, which they've exploited well in recent matches. Derby's focus will likely be on maintaining defensive integrity while seeking opportunities on the break, with Millwall looking to dominate possession and capitalize on Derby's defensive lapses.

Check out our complete thoughts below.

Betting Tips & Predictions for Derby vs Millwall

TipStrike Based on current form, betting on Millwall or a draw offers good value, especially with Millwall's recent success against Derby. Under 2.5 goals seems likely given defensive records, but the recent head-to-head trends suggest a tightly contested match.

Derby vs Millwall Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.

👉 Our prediction is: BTTS Predictions for Derby vs Millwall

Both teams have shown defensive vulnerabilities, but with Derby missing key defenders, Both Teams To Score (BTTS) is a plausible bet.

👉 Our prediction is: Over/Under Goal Tips

The data suggests a low-scoring game with under 2.5 goals likely, considering both teams' defensive stats and recent matches.

👉 Our prediction is: Asian Handicap Tips for Derby vs Millwall

Given the recent form and head-to-head statistics, a double chance bet on Millwall or draw is attractive, considering Derby's injury issues and Millwall's winning streaks.

👉 Our prediction is: First Half & Full Time Predictions

A cautious first half with low goals is expected, possibly leading to Millwall gaining an advantage by halftime, with the final outcome leaning towards Millwall or a draw.

Derby vs Millwall Match Forecast

Derby and Millwall face off at Pride Park on December 10 with Millwall slightly favored to win or at least secure a draw. Derby's injuries and form issues give Millwall a tactical edge, potentially leading to a narrow victory for Millwall if their form persists.

Head-to-Head Breakdown

Millwall has been dominant in recent encounters against Derby, winning 8 of the last 10 matches. The most recent meeting saw Millwall triumph 1-0 at Pride Park, emphasizing their strong head-to-head record.

Injury Update

Derby is missing key defender C. Nelson due to torn knee ligaments, weakening their backline. Millwall's D. McNamara is also sidelined following surgery, affecting their midfield stability. Both injuries are likely to impact team tactics.

Predicted Lineups & Tactical Comparison

Derby is expected to adopt a 3-4-2-1 formation, focusing on a solid defensive structure, while Millwall will likely deploy a 4-2-3-1, emphasizing midfield control and counter-attacks. These formations highlight Derby’s defensive setup against Millwall’s offensive approach.

Team Form Overview

Derby’s recent form is inconsistent, with a winning ratio of 40%, and they have struggled scoring and defending. Millwall's form is more stable, showing a 67% success rate, and they have been effective both offensively and defensively. This disparity favors Millwall entering the game.

Derby vs Millwall Match Prediction & Tactical Preview

See below all the main information for this match.

Recent head-to-head results show Millwall has a significant edge, winning 8 of the last encounters against Derby, with the most recent ending in a Millwall victory. Derby's recent form is inconsistent, losing more often than winning, while Millwall demonstrates a stronger streak at the moment.

Derby’s injury list is concerning, notably missing C. Nelson due to torn knee ligaments, which will impact their defensive stability. Millwall also faces a setback with D. McNamara sidelined after knee surgery, affecting their midfield strength. These absences could influence tactical approaches.

Millwall is slightly favored to win or draw, with a 45% chance for each outcome, as per recent form and head-to-head dominance. Derby's recent struggles and injury issues lower their chances, but a draw remains a plausible result considering the competitiveness of Championship fixtures.

Today's Predictions