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On 20 February 2026, at Mewa Arena in Mainz, the Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Hamburg promises competitive football. Mainz's consistent home record faces Hamburg’s resilient away form. Our main lean favors a win or draw for Mainz 05, with multiple betting opportunities based on team strength and history.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 |
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 26 | D W W D D |
| 13 |
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 | D L W W W |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Home | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Away | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10% | 52% | 38% |
| Home | 18% | 36% | 45% |
| Away | 0% | 70% | 30% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
| Home | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 |
| Away | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Home | 18% | 55% | 27% |
| Away | 40% | 10% | 50% |
The match at Mewa Arena in Mainz pits a slightly unpredictable Mainz side against a resilient Hamburg team. Mainz's recent form shows a mixed bag with 60% form over last five games, while Hamburg is slightly more consistent with a 60% form. Mainz's attack averages 1.6 goals per game, but their defense concedes the same, indicating a balanced but volatile set-up. Hamburg's defense appears solid, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, which hints at a tough challenge for Mainz to break down. Expect a tightly contested game with opportunities for Hamburg to capitalize on Mainz’s defensive lapses.
Mainz 05's key players might include Lee Jae-Sung and S. Widmer, who are crucial for creating scoring opportunities. Hamburg's squad is bolstered by players like R. Glatzel and K. Jatta, known for their clinical finishing. Injuries or suspensions are not explicitly listed, but squad depth suggests both teams will field strong lineups.
If Mainz 05 scores first, the match could open up, but historically, Hamburger SV has the resilience to come back or hold their ground, especially considering their recent form and previous victories at Mainz. An early Mainz goal might heighten the game's intensity, but HSV's history of dominant performances in Hamburg suggests they are well-positioned for a strong game.
Mainz 05 traditionally employs a possession-based style, relying on set pieces and positional attacks, which increases the likelihood of high-quality scoring chances from corners and free kicks. Hamburg’s disciplined defensive setup, often marked by cautious pressing, suggests they will focus on absorbing Mainz’s pressure and countering through quick transitions. Over the course of their recent fixtures, Hamburg has demonstrated resilience on the road, making their defence less likely to falter early, especially given Mainz’s propensity to struggle against disciplined defensive units.
See below all the main information for this match.
Yes, Mainz 05 has a solid recent record at home, including a significant win against Hamburg in 2014 and a close victory in 2017. Hamburg’s away form can be inconsistent but they have a history of winning in Mainz, especially when motivated.
Mainz 05 has been steady overall, but Hamburg's recent dominance at home, notably the 4-0 victory in the last away fixture, suggests Hamburg has a slight edge in recent encounters.
Considering the recent form, Mainz's attack averaging 1.6 goals and Hamburg’s solid defensive record, the game could lean towards a tight, low-scoring contest, but the prediction favors Mainz for a result or draw.