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On May 11, 2026, at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes hosts Casa Pia in a prime Primeira Liga fixture. With Guimaraes having a slight edge and recent form favoring them, the primary lean here is for a home victory. Our predictions focus on value bets and key markets to watch in this competitive encounter.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Guimaraes
Stats
|
Guimaraes
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32 | 12 | 6 | 14 |
| Home | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Away | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 |
|
Guimaraes
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31% | 38% | 31% |
| Home | 31% | 50% | 19% |
| Away | 31% | 25% | 44% |
Casa Pia
Stats
|
Casa Pia
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 |
| Home | 16 | 2 | 8 | 6 |
| Away | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 |
|
Casa Pia
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19% | 34% | 47% |
| Home | 13% | 44% | 44% |
| Away | 25% | 25% | 50% |
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Guimaraes enter this match with a solid recent home record, averaging 1.6 goals at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques and showing strong defensive discipline. Casa Pia's recent form is tougher, but their history of tight games suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.
Guimaraes may miss some key players but typically rely on their organized 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing tempo and pressing. Casa Pia's defensive solidity and experience could keep the game disciplined, despite recent injury absences.
If Guimaraes scores first, they could build on recent form with strong home stats, but Casa Pia's resilience might keep the game tight. A late goal or a draw is quite plausible given their head-to-head history, especially considering recent low-scoring meetings.
Expect Guimaraes to rely on tempo and quick transitions, with set pieces a potential source of goals. Casa Pia's disciplined backline and counter-attacking setup could create chances on the break, making over 2.5 goals a borderline scenario.
See below all the main information for this match.
Home team Guimaraes has a slight edge based on recent form and home stats, but recent head-to-head and low-scoring trends suggest a tight match.
Guimaraes tend to score more at home, averaging 1.6 goals, while Casa Pia's recent away form is limited to 0.4 goals per game, making Guimaraes the safer pick.
The game might be low-scoring given recent results, with under 2.5 goals being a plausible outcome, especially considering their last encounters were 1-0 or 1-1.
Guimaraes are currently more consistent at home and are predicted to win roughly 45% of the time, with a 45% chance of a draw and only 10% for Casa Pia.
Premier League
