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On 14th February 2026, at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes face Estrela in a key Primeira Liga fixture. Guimaraes are slight favorites based on recent form and head-to-head results, with a predicted win or draw outcome. This prediction page covers the best bets for goal totals, match winner, and more, helping you find valuable odds.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
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MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 |
| Home | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Away | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
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CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Home | 27% | 45% | 27% |
| Away | 40% | 10% | 50% |
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|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 |
| Home | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Away | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24% | 33% | 43% |
| Home | 27% | 36% | 36% |
| Away | 20% | 30% | 50% |
Guimaraes enters the match as the clear favorite due to their superior recent form, strong head-to-head results, and home advantage. Estrela, however, showed resilience in previous matches, drawing on their away performances. The fixture at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques sets up an intriguing clash with Guimaraes aiming to extend their winning streak, while Estrela will look to bounce back.
Guimaraes are expected to field their main squad, focusing on their experienced midfield duo and sharp attack led by Gustavo and Nélson Oliveira. Estrela relies on their sturdy defensive line, including Caica and I. Dramé, to withstand the pressure. No significant injury updates are known, suggesting both teams will be at full strength for this crucial match.
Given the recent form and head-to-head record, Guimaraes are strong favorites for the match at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The last encounter saw Guimaraes winning 2-0 on the road, indicating a probable continuation of their dominance. If Guimaraes scores first, they are likely to control the game, but staying alert for Estrela's potential counterattacks is key. An early goal could set the tone, but Guimaraes's recent solid defense suggests a tight contest.
Guimaraes typically employs a balanced 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing strong wing play and set-piece opportunities, which could translate into more corners and goal chances. Probable high pressing and disciplined defending may limit Estrela’s supply from wide areas, suggesting bets on Guimaraes to dominate corners and keep a clean sheet are well-founded.
See below all the main information for this match.
Guimaraes are favored to win, with a 45% chance of victory, but a draw is also highly plausible at 45%. Expect a close game with Guimaraes likely to edge it by a narrow margin.
The most probable scoreline is 1-0 or 2-0 in favor of Guimaraes, considering their recent attacking efficiency and Estrela's defensive record.
Estimating from recent data, Guimaraes are more likely to score in the first half and maintain control throughout the match, especially given their strong home form.