Primeira Liga - Portugal
Sat, 14 February 2026 - 18:00 Stadium: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Primeira Liga
Guimaraes logo
Guimaraes vs Estrela
Arsenal logo
Sat, 14 February 2026 - 18:00 Stadium: Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Prediction: Guimaraes vs Estrela Betting Tips

Match Preview and Betting Tips

On 14th February 2026, at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques, Guimaraes face Estrela in a key Primeira Liga fixture. Guimaraes are slight favorites based on recent form and head-to-head results, with a predicted win or draw outcome. This prediction page covers the best bets for goal totals, match winner, and more, helping you find valuable odds.

Guimaraes vs Estrela Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.

Free
Match Winner Guimaraes Tipstrike Odd: 1.71
Free
Double Chance Guimaraes or Draw Tipstrike Odd: 1.14
Free
Goals Over/Under Over 2.0 Tipstrike Odd: 1.58

Primeira Liga Detailed Statistics

Standings
# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
7 Guimaraes Guimaraes 22 9 4 9 25 31 -6 31 W L W L L
11 Estrela Estrela 22 5 8 9 26 39 -13 23 L W D L L
Guimaraes Team Logo Guimaraes Stats
Guimaraes Team Logo Guimaraes
MP W D L
Overall 21 8 4 9
Home 11 5 3 3
Away 10 3 1 6
Guimaraes Team Logo Guimaraes
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 33% 29% 38%
Home 27% 45% 27%
Away 40% 10% 50%
Estrela Team Logo Estrela Stats
Estrela Team Logo Estrela
MP W D L
Overall 21 5 8 8
Home 11 3 4 4
Away 10 2 4 4
Estrela Team Logo Estrela
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 24% 33% 43%
Home 27% 36% 36%
Away 20% 30% 50%

Match Setup

Guimaraes enters the match as the clear favorite due to their superior recent form, strong head-to-head results, and home advantage. Estrela, however, showed resilience in previous matches, drawing on their away performances. The fixture at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques sets up an intriguing clash with Guimaraes aiming to extend their winning streak, while Estrela will look to bounce back.

Team News

Guimaraes are expected to field their main squad, focusing on their experienced midfield duo and sharp attack led by Gustavo and Nélson Oliveira. Estrela relies on their sturdy defensive line, including Caica and I. Dramé, to withstand the pressure. No significant injury updates are known, suggesting both teams will be at full strength for this crucial match.

Game State Scenarios

Given the recent form and head-to-head record, Guimaraes are strong favorites for the match at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques. The last encounter saw Guimaraes winning 2-0 on the road, indicating a probable continuation of their dominance. If Guimaraes scores first, they are likely to control the game, but staying alert for Estrela's potential counterattacks is key. An early goal could set the tone, but Guimaraes's recent solid defense suggests a tight contest.

Tactical Betting Angle

Guimaraes typically employs a balanced 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing strong wing play and set-piece opportunities, which could translate into more corners and goal chances. Probable high pressing and disciplined defending may limit Estrela’s supply from wide areas, suggesting bets on Guimaraes to dominate corners and keep a clean sheet are well-founded.

FAQs about Guimaraes vs Estrela

See below all the main information for this match.

Guimaraes are favored to win, with a 45% chance of victory, but a draw is also highly plausible at 45%. Expect a close game with Guimaraes likely to edge it by a narrow margin.

The most probable scoreline is 1-0 or 2-0 in favor of Guimaraes, considering their recent attacking efficiency and Estrela's defensive record.

Estimating from recent data, Guimaraes are more likely to score in the first half and maintain control throughout the match, especially given their strong home form.

Today's Predictions