Prediction: Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia Betting Tips

Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia takes place on 31 October 2026 at Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia, in First League Regular Season - 13. The prediction model makes Levski the narrow home-side preference at 45%, but the draw is equally likely at 45%, with CSKA at 10%. The advice of Levski or draw fits that split better than an outright home-win call. Both clubs have nine wins and no league defeats in the supplied records. Levski have the stronger home profile: five wins from five and 14 goals scored, while conceding once. CSKA arrive with a productive recent five-match return of 12 goals, but Levski’s last-five defensive record is just two conceded. Recent derby results are mixed, including a 4-2 CSKA win and a 2-0 Levski win in 2026, so the rivalry adds uncertainty rather than a clear head-to-head edge. A cautious 1-1 projection is consistent with the draw probability and the safer goals angles.

The supplied team information lists squad players for both sides but does not include confirmed injuries, suspensions or doubtful players. No absence can therefore be treated as confirmed. Levski’s listed options include attackers J. Perea, M. Sangaré and R. Kirilov; CSKA’s include I. Pittas, S. Godoy and M. Brahimi. These are squad names only, not a prediction of the starting line-ups.

The statistical case points to protection around Levski rather than a confident 1X2 bet. Their perfect home record and 0.2 goals conceded per home league match support the double chance; CSKA’s 1.7 away goals per game and strong recent attack are reasons not to overstate the clean-sheet case. For goals, both teams’ supplied league records lean toward a moderate total: Levski have gone under 3.5 in 10 of 11 matches and CSKA in 10 of 12. The latest 4-2 derby is a reminder that this trend is not a certainty. Market map for these estimated picks: Double Chance, Total Goals Over/Under, Team Total Goals, Half-Time Result, First Half Goals and Correct Score. The first-half angles are supported by several recent derby half-time scores at 0-0 or 1-0, while the 1-1 correct-score pick is a higher-risk expression of the model’s 45% draw probability. Odds below are estimates, not a claim of guaranteed value; compare the prices with your own probability assessment before betting.

If Levski score first, their home record—five wins from five league home matches, with just one goal conceded—supports a controlled route to protecting the lead. A level half-time would keep the draw live: several recent derbies were goalless at the break, and the half-time draw is a higher-variance option. If the match opens late, Levski’s league goals have been concentrated after the interval, with 58% coming from minute 61 onward; CSKA have also scored frequently in the final 15 minutes. That late scoring pattern is the main caution against treating an early low-scoring phase as a guarantee of a quiet finish.