TipStrike

Primera División - Apertura — Uruguay

Progreso logo Progreso
vs Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:00 Parque Abraham Paladino
Cerro logo Cerro

Prediction: Progreso vs Cerro Betting Tips: Predictions, Best Bets & Odds

Progreso vs Cerro betting tips and predictions

Progreso vs Cerro takes place on September 13, 2026, at Parque Abraham Paladino in Montevideo. With Progreso showing recent resilience at home and Cerro making an away push, the main lean favors a cautious approach. Expect a tightly contested match with low goals and a probable double chance on Progreso or draw, aligning with betting value and recent form.

TipStrike Pick Total Goals Under 3.5 Under 3.5 goals Odd 1.45

Progreso vs Cerro Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

Double Chance
Progreso or Draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.70
Total Goals Under 3.5
Under 3.5 goals
Tipstrike odd: 1.45
Home Win
Progreso
Tipstrike odd: 2.05
First Half Draw
Draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.80
Both Teams To Score No
No
Tipstrike odd: 1.90
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Primera División - Apertura detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
14 Cerro 35 10 7 18 29 53 -24 37 L L D W L
15 Progreso 35 10 5 20 31 49 -18 35 L W W D L
Progreso stats
MP W D L
Overall 34 10 5 19
Home 16 5 2 9
Away 18 5 3 10
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Cerro stats
MP W D L
Overall 34 10 7 17
Home 16 6 4 6
Away 18 4 3 11
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Progreso Cerro Progreso Cerro
0.5 goals 21 22 13 12
1.5 goals 9 4 25 30
2.5 goals 1 2 33 32
3.5 goals 0 0 34 34
4.5 goals 0 0 34 34
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Progreso Cerro Progreso Cerro
0.5 goals 28 27 6 7
1.5 goals 15 13 19 21
2.5 goals 4 8 30 26
3.5 goals 0 3 34 31
4.5 goals 0 0 34 34
Progreso cards
Yellow cards
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0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
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0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
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Cerro cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
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0 min 0 · 0
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Formations
Progreso
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Cerro
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Match setup and key points

Progreso vs Cerro is scheduled at Parque Abraham Paladino, with both teams having a history of competitive matches. Progreso has shown a weak recent form but offers strong results at home, while Cerro has a solid record away but has struggled with consistency. This fixture could see a close scoreline, emphasizing the importance of controlling the midfield and set-piece opportunities.

Team news and injury update

Both teams have their key players available, with Progreso maintaining most of their squad from recent fixtures. Cerro's squad includes experienced defenders and midfielders capable of changing the game. Injuries are not a major concern, but discipline will be crucial, as both sides can be prone to cards.

Tactical considerations for betting

Progreso's recent matches reveal a conservative yet effective approach, often relying on their solid defense and quick counters. Cerro tends to press high but can be caught on the break. The match could hinge on set pieces and the tempo of play, with Progreso aiming to frustrate Cerro and exploit counterattacks. Betting on a low-scoring game or a double chance for Progreso or draw makes strategic sense.

Game scenarios for Progreso vs Cerro

If Progreso scores first in the upcoming Progreso vs Cerro match, it could significantly boost their chances of securing a win, especially given their recent positive form at home. If the game is level at halftime, Progreso's aggressive second-half approach and Cerro's vulnerability to conceding late goals may lead to an open contest. Late goals tend to come from Cerro’s increased pressing, but Progreso's compact defense could prevent goals in the final moments.

FAQs about Progreso vs Cerro predictions

What is the likely result of Progreso vs Cerro?
The most probable outcome is a Progreso win or draw, with an expected low number of goals, likely under 3.5, aligning with recent form and head-to-head trends.
What is the safest bet for this match?
Bet on Progreso or the draw with a safe margin, as their recent home form suggests a strong chance of avoiding defeat.
Will there be many goals in Progreso vs Cerro?
The match is expected to feature fewer than 3.5 goals, based on the low average goals per game and team defensive stats.
Can I bet on the exact score?
No, Correct Score markets are not available for this fixture.
Can I bet on both teams to score?
No, BTTS (Both Teams To Score) market is not available for this fixture.