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On July 18, 2026, at Parque Abraham Paladino, Progreso welcome Deportivo Maldonado in a key fixture of the Primera División Apertura. Deportivo Maldonado appears slightly favored, with recent form and head-to-head success supporting the away team’s chances. Our analysis points to a low-scoring, cautious game, with the potential for late goals or a draw.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 21 | 15 | 40 | D W W D W |
| 16 |
|
20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 13 | L L W L L |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 |
| Home | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| Away | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5% | 45% | 50% |
| Home | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| Away | 10% | 40% | 50% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 |
| Home | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 |
| Away | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35% | 60% | 5% |
| Home | 40% | 60% | 0% |
| Away | 30% | 60% | 10% |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Over | Under | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 0.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.5 Goals | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado takes place at the Parque Abraham Paladino in Montevideo, with both teams relatively balanced in recent form. Deportivo Maldonado shows a higher win probability at 45%, driven by their recent solid form and head-to-head success. Expect a tightly contested game with tactical discipline from both sides.
Both teams will field strong squads with key players returning from recent injuries. Deportivo Maldonado's squad has recent match sharpness, with their last fixture ending 1-1 in a balanced display. Progreso's form is inconsistent; their attack has struggled to convert possession into goals. Injuries are minimal, allowing both sides to deploy their preferred tactics.
If Deportivo Maldonado scores early in Progreso vs Deportivo Maldonado, they will likely park the bus given their recent strong defensive record, leading to a low-scoring game. If the match is level at halftime, expect a cautious second half with potential for late goals, especially from Maldonado's counter-attacks. Late-game scenarios suggest Maldonado may hold onto the victory or settle for a draw, based on past fixtures where they tend to defend their lead well.
Expect Deportivo Maldonado to adopt a pragmatic approach, relying on their strong defensive organization and counter-attacks. Given their recent clean sheet record and recent over/under stats, a low-scoring outcome seems more probable. Progreso may struggle to create enough chances against Maldonado’s disciplined defensive structure.
The game is scheduled to be played at Parque Abraham Paladino, Montevideo, on 18th July 2026 at 15:30 UTC.
Deportivo Maldonado has a higher probability to win with a 45% chance, with the most likely scoreline being 0-1 or 1-1.
The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a potential low number of goals and a defensive approach from Maldonado.