Prediction: Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin Betting Tips

Raków Częstochowa vs Pogon Szczecin takes place on 2 November 2026 at 19:30 UTC at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow, in Ekstraklasa Regular Season - Round 13. The supplied probabilities give Pogon a 45% win chance, a 45% draw chance and Raków just 10%. Recent form reinforces the away-or-draw lean: Pogon are unbeaten in their last five, with 11 goals scored and four conceded, while Raków have won 20% of their last five and conceded 13. The supplied forecast does not include an exact score; a cautious scoreline lean is 0-1. Market map for these picks: double chance, draw no bet, match winner, total goals, team total goals, first-half goals, half-time result and correct score.

Squad lists are provided for both teams, but no injury, suspension or doubtful-player information is included. There is therefore no supported basis to identify a specific absence or claim that either side is missing a key player. Reassess team-total and correct-score selections if confirmed team news changes the available attacking options.

The clearest betting angle is Pogon’s stronger recent balance, but the prediction’s 45% draw probability argues against treating an away win as a certainty. Raków have conceded 2.6 goals per game across their last five, compared with Pogon’s 0.8, while Pogon’s league away record is three wins and one draw from four. The goal data also makes a controlled total plausible: Raków’s league matches have gone under 3.5 goals in 10 of 12, and Pogon’s have done so in all 11. Formation records show Raków most often using a 3-4-3 and Pogon a 4-2-3-1, but there is no match-specific lineup confirmation, so the picks lean on the stronger form and defensive numbers rather than assuming a tactical setup. Odds shown with the selections are estimated price guides; the away-or-draw cover is the lowest-variance route, while the draw and correct-score picks carry greater uncertainty.

If Pogon Szczecin score first, Raków’s recent defensive record—13 goals conceded across five matches—raises the risk of a difficult chase, while Pogon have conceded only four in that span. If the game is level at half-time, the 45% draw probability and several recent H2Hs that were goalless at the break support patience rather than an assumption of an early breakthrough. Raków have scored 43.75% of their league goals after the 75th minute, so a late home response is possible; Pogon’s strongest scoring window is 46–60 minutes, which makes the period just after half-time a key watchpoint.