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On January 31, 2026, RB Leipzig hosts Mainz 05 at Red Bull Arena in a Bundesliga clash. Leipzig, favorites at home, look to extend their recent dominance over Mainz. The main betting lean favors Leipzig winning or drawing, with a focus on goals and game flow.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 |
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 41 | D D W L D |
| 13 |
|
23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 22 | D L W W W |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 |
| Home | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Away | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 41% | 50% | 9% |
| Home | 36% | 64% | 0% |
| Away | 45% | 36% | 18% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 |
| Home | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
| Away | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10% | 52% | 38% |
| Home | 18% | 36% | 45% |
| Away | 0% | 70% | 30% |
RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 takes place on January 31, 2026, at Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, in a Bundesliga fixture. Leipzig's squad is currently missing key defenders and midfielders due to injuries, which could influence their defensive solidity. Mainz's squad is also depleted with injuries and suspensions, impacting their attacking options and overall resilience. Leipzig’s dominant recent head-to-head form, combined with home advantage, gives them a slight edge.
RB Leipzig is missing J. Bakayoko, V. Gebel, C. Lukeba, and A. Ouedraogo through injuries, impacting their defense and midfield control. Mainz 05 faces similar setbacks with A. Caci, M. Dal, A. Hanche-Olsen, M. Leitsch, and N. Veratschnig unavailable due to injuries, reducing their defensive stability. Both squads have key players out, which should influence the style and outcome of this fixture.
If RB Leipzig scores first in the game at Red Bull Arena, the match is likely to open up, considering Mainz 05's vulnerability when trailing. With Leipzig's recent form showing a solid winning streak and Mainz struggling with injuries and inconsistent results, a late goal for Mainz could alter the game dynamics. Conversely, early pressure from Leipzig might cement their lead, but Mainz’s stubbornness and tactical resilience could keep the score tight into the second half.
RB Leipzig’s attacking style, characterized by quick transitions and set-piece efficiency, will test Mainz’s defensive stability, especially as Mainz faces injury-related gaps in their backline. Leipzig’s ability to press and create chances early could be decisive, but Mainz’s disciplined approach and counter-attacking threat remain significant. Expect Leipzig to dominate possession and create the majority of goal-scoring opportunities.
See below all the main information for this match.
The match is scheduled for January 31, 2026, at Red Bull Arena in Leipzig, kicking off at 14:30 UTC. It’s part of the Bundesliga season 2025. Expect a competitive fixture with Leipzig aiming to capitalize on home advantage.
RB Leipzig has shown good recent form at home, with over 50% possession and a tendency to score early. Mainz struggles with injuries, but they have a resilient counter-attacking approach. Overall, Leipzig’s home form and recent H2H edge favor them.
In head-to-head matchups, Leipzig has the edge, especially at home, with recent wins and solid performances. Mainz’s last season results included a 2-0 win in Mainz and a 1-0 loss in Leipzig, indicating close encounters.
RB Leipzig's squad is missing key defenders, which could make them susceptible to Mainz's counter attacks. Mainz also faces squad issues with injuries, making this a tight game where set pieces and discipline could be crucial.