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On April 10, 2026, at the iconic Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Real Madrid faces Girona in a crucial La Liga clash. Real Madrid is the favorite, backed by solid recent stats and home advantage, making a home win the main lean. For bettors, looking at the goals angle offers great value, with multiple factors favoring over 2.5 goals.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 |
|
30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 69 | L W W W L |
| 12 |
|
30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 37 | W L W D L |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 |
| Home | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 |
| Away | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 41% | 48% | 11% |
| Home | 38% | 46% | 15% |
| Away | 43% | 50% | 7% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Home | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 |
| Away | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20% | 53% | 27% |
| Home | 33% | 40% | 27% |
| Away | 7% | 67% | 27% |
Real Madrid has been solid at home, winning most recent fixtures with an average of 2 goals scored per game. Girona’s recent away struggles, with just 1 win in their last 5 away matches, point to a challenging test. Injuries are minimal but key players' fitness could influence the intensity of the match.
Real Madrid's squad is largely fit, with key attackers like Kylian Mbappé and Vinícius Júnior expected to start. Girona's squad also remains intact, with Vitor Nunes and Bryan Gil providing creativity. Both sides' attacking options are strong, but injury information suggests Madrid's line-up is slightly more settled for this fixture.
If Real Madrid scores first in the upcoming match at Estadio Santiago Bernabéu, Girona may face increased pressure to level, especially considering Girona's recent resilience. A late goal for Girona cannot be ruled out, but historically, Real Madrid maintains dominance, particularly at home. If the match is level at halftime, expect a tight second half with Real Madrid pushing to secure the win, as their recent form shows strong second-half performance, especially at home.
Expect a disciplined approach from Real Madrid, focusing on controlling possession and exploiting set-piece opportunities. Girona may adopt a compact defensive shape, aiming to hit on the counter-attack or capitalize on set pieces. Bet on Madrid's ability to score multiple goals given their recent offensive stats, especially in the second half.
See below all the main information for this match.
Real Madrid is favored based on recent form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance, with a 45% probability of winning and a 77% chance of scoring over 1.5 goals.
The prediction favors a Real Madrid win, supported by their 60% recent form, home strength, and Girona's slightly weaker away record.
A bet on Real Madrid to win the match is recommended given their recent top scoring performances and Girona's struggles away from home.