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On February 14, 2026, at Santiago Bernabéu, Real Madrid hosts Real Sociedad in a key La Liga fixture. With Madrid favored to win or draw, this page highlights the best betting tips, odds value, and strategy. Use this data-driven guide for smarter bets on goals, outcomes, and in-game events.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Last 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
|
24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 | W W W W W |
| 9 |
|
25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 32 | D L W D W |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23 | 18 | 3 | 2 |
| Home | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 |
| Away | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 48% | 43% | 9% |
| Home | 45% | 45% | 9% |
| Away | 50% | 42% | 8% |
|
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| Home | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Away | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 |
|
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4% | 83% | 13% |
| Home | 8% | 83% | 8% |
| Away | 0% | 83% | 17% |
Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad takes place at Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid on February 14, 2026. Recent form shows Madrid with strong home performances and a 93% head-to-head win rate in their encounters. Injuries are minimal, and both teams aim to secure vital points in La Liga.
Real Madrid will likely field their strongest attacking lineup including Vinícius Jr. and Kylian Mbappé, while Sociedad might rely on Jon Karrikaburu and Barrenetxea for scoring threats. Both squads have key players in good form, minimizing injury concerns.
If Real Madrid scores early, the match is likely to open up, increasing scoring chances for both sides. A draw at halftime is plausible given the recent form, but Real Madrid's attacking ability suggests they could prevail in the second half. Expect a tightly contested game but leaning towards a home win or draw.
Given Madrid's recent dominant performances and Sociedad’s defensive resilience, expect a measured tempo with emphasis on set pieces and quick counters. Madrid's attacking midfielders may exploit gaps in Sociedad's press, making attacking markets with goal over/under or scoring bets appealing.
See below all the main information for this match.
Betting on Madrid to win or draw offers high value given their strong recent home form and superior head-to-head record, with a 45% probability for each outcome.
Over 1.5 goals is a safe bet considering Madrid's average of 2.6 goals per game and Sociedad’s 2.2, with odds suggesting high scoring is likely.
Both teams to score is a viable option; Madrid's recent attacking performances and Sociedad's goal-scoring trend support this bet.
In terms of first-half results, a Draw or Home team leading is favored; Madrid has a higher chance of leading at halftime based on recent performances.
A double chance bet on Madrid or draw provides a solid safety net, considering Madrid’s 93% win rate in previous fixtures against Sociedad.