TipStrike

Eerste Divisie — Netherlands

Roda logo Roda
2–1 Full time Fri, 30 Oct 2026
Jong AZ logo Jong AZ
  1. 28' Yellow card: Mathijs Menu (Jong AZ)
  2. 35' Goal: Mitchel Paulissen (Roda)
  3. HT 1–0
  4. 55' Yellow card: Jerome Deom (Roda)
  5. 61' Goal: Anthony van den Hurk (Roda)
  6. 64' Yellow card: Julian Sijbrands (Jong AZ)
  7. 79' Goal: Frej Elkjær Andersen (Jong AZ)
  8. 85' Red card: Mathijs Menu (Jong AZ)
  9. FT 2–1

Prediction: Roda vs Jong AZ Betting Tips, Predictions and Best Bets

Roda vs Jong AZ prediction preview

Roda vs Jong AZ takes place on 30 October 2026 in the Eerste Divisie, with kick-off at 19:00 UTC at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade. The main lean is Jong AZ or draw, alongside over 1.5 goals. These Roda vs Jong AZ betting tips weigh the 45% away-win and 45% draw probabilities against Roda’s solid home defending and Jong AZ’s stronger scoring numbers. Read our predictions, estimated odds and best bets below, including value picks framed around the match data.

TipStrike Pick Total Goals Over/Under Over 1.5 Odd 1.24

Roda vs Jong AZ Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

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Double Chance
Away or Draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.05
Draw No Bet
Away
Tipstrike odd: 1.15
Total Goals Over/Under
Over 1.5
Tipstrike odd: 1.24
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Eerste Divisie detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
4 Roda 13 7 4 2 17 12 5 25 W W W D L
10 Jong AZ 13 5 2 6 32 28 4 17 L W D L W
Roda stats
MP W D L
Overall 13 7 4 2
Home 6 4 2 0
Away 7 3 2 2
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Jong AZ stats
MP W D L
Overall 13 5 2 6
Home 6 3 0 3
Away 7 2 2 3
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Roda Jong AZ Roda Jong AZ
0.5 goals 10 11 3 2
1.5 goals 6 7 7 6
2.5 goals 1 5 12 8
3.5 goals 0 5 13 8
4.5 goals 0 3 13 10
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Roda Jong AZ Roda Jong AZ
0.5 goals 9 13 4 0
1.5 goals 3 8 10 5
2.5 goals 0 5 13 8
3.5 goals 0 2 13 11
4.5 goals 0 0 13 13
Roda cards
Yellow cards
0 min No data
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0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
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Jong AZ cards
Yellow cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
0 min No data
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Formations
Roda
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Jong AZ
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Why this match sets up this way

Roda vs Jong AZ is a finely balanced 1X2 call: the supplied probabilities give the hosts 10%, with draw and away win both at 45%. The overall figures point to Jong AZ’s stronger attack, while Roda’s recent form and home defensive numbers make a home win-or-draw case less straightforward than the broad form comparison alone suggests. Recent league meetings also favour Jong AZ, including a 3-2 win at this venue and a 2-0 home win. The data supports a goals lean above 1.5, but not an expectation of an unrestricted high-scoring match.

Team news and squad notes

Squad lists are provided for both sides, including Roda attackers A. van den Hurk, J. Sleegers and C. Seedorf, and Jong AZ forwards R. Robbemond, Jerolldino Armantrading and A. Oufkir. No injury, suspension or doubtful-player report is supplied, so there is no confirmed team-news adjustment to make. The listed squads should not be treated as confirmed starting line-ups.

Tactical betting angle and market map

The attacking contrast is central to the betting angle. Jong AZ have scored 31 goals in 12 league matches, including 19 across six away games, but have also conceded 26 overall. Roda’s league home record is tighter: eight scored and four conceded in five matches. That combination supports Jong AZ to avoid defeat and a modest goals floor, while the supplied team-goal projections cap Roda below 2.5 and Jong AZ below 3.5. Market map for these estimated picks: match result, double chance, goals, team totals, first-half goals, correct score and cards.

Game-state scenarios

If Roda scores first, its home defensive record—four goals conceded in five league home matches—offers a basis for protecting a lead, but Jong AZ’s 19 away goals in six matches mean the visitors retain a credible route back. If the game is level at half-time, the 45% draw probability keeps a stalemate firmly in play. Late action is plausible: Jong AZ scored 22.58% of its league goals in the 76th–90th minute, while Roda scored 18.75% in that period.

Roda vs Jong AZ FAQs

Who is favoured in Roda vs Jong AZ?
The supplied probabilities give Jong AZ a 45% win chance, equal to the draw probability, while Roda are at 10%. The safer result angle is therefore Jong AZ or draw rather than an outright away win.
How many goals are expected?
The supplied prediction advice points to over 1.5 goals. Roda’s home matches have averaged 1.6 goals scored by the hosts, while Jong AZ’s recent scoring and defensive figures leave room for both sides to contribute.
What are the best bets for Roda vs Jong AZ?
The estimated picks are Jong AZ or draw, away draw-no-bet, and over 1.5 total goals. The listed prices are analytical estimates, not supplied market odds.
When and where is Roda vs Jong AZ?
The fixture is scheduled for 19:00 UTC on 30 October 2026 at Parkstad Limburg Stadion in Kerkrade, in the Eerste Divisie.