TipStrike

Serie A — Brazil

Sao Paulo logo Sao Paulo
2–0 Full time Thu, 12 Feb 2026
Gremio logo Gremio
  1. 22' Yellow card: Weverton (Gremio)
  2. 24' Penalty goal: Lucas Moura (Sao Paulo)
  3. 45' Yellow card: Luciano (Sao Paulo)
  4. 45+4' Yellow card: Pablo Maia (Sao Paulo)
  5. 45+5' Yellow card: Wagner Leonardo (Gremio)
  6. HT 1–0
  7. 47' Yellow card: Wagner Leonardo (Gremio)
  8. 47' Red card: Wagner Leonardo (Gremio)
  9. 59' Goal: Jonathan Calleri (Sao Paulo)
  10. 90+5' Yellow card: Andre Henrique (Gremio)
  11. FT 2–0

Prediction: Sao Paulo vs Gremio Betting Tips

Match preview and betting insights

On 12th February 2026, at Estádio Do MorumBIS, Sao Paulo hosts Gremio in Serie A. Sao Paulo looks favored to win or draw, based on recent form and squad conditions. This prediction focuses on safe bets with high potential value for betting enthusiasts exploring odds and predictions.

TipStrike Pick Double Chance Sao Paulo or draw Odd 1.32

Sao Paulo vs Gremio Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

Match Winner
Sao Paulo to win
Tipstrike odd: 2.10
Goals Over/Under
Over 2.0 goals
Tipstrike odd: 1.62
Double Chance
Sao Paulo or draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.32
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Serie A detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
10 Sao Paulo 33 12 7 14 39 39 0 43 L D W W L
17 Gremio 33 9 10 14 37 44 -7 37 W W L D D
Sao Paulo stats
MP W D L
Overall 33 12 7 14
Home 16 10 3 3
Away 17 2 4 11
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Gremio stats
MP W D L
Overall 33 9 10 14
Home 17 8 5 4
Away 16 1 5 10
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Sao Paulo Gremio Sao Paulo Gremio
0.5 goals 26 23 7 10
1.5 goals 11 9 22 24
2.5 goals 1 3 32 30
3.5 goals 1 1 32 32
4.5 goals 0 1 33 32
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Sao Paulo Gremio Sao Paulo Gremio
0.5 goals 26 25 7 8
1.5 goals 11 13 22 20
2.5 goals 2 5 31 28
3.5 goals 0 1 33 32
4.5 goals 0 0 33 33
Sao Paulo cards
Yellow cards
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Red cards
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0 min 0 · 0
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Gremio cards
Yellow cards
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Red cards
0 min No data
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Formations
Sao Paulo
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Gremio
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Match context and team conditions

Sao Paulo aims for consistency at Estádio Do MorumBIS, leveraging their recent form and home advantage. Gremio, missing key players like M. Braithwaite and M. Villasanti, faces an uphill battle, especially after tight recent fixtures. Expect Sao Paulo's organized pressing to create scoring chances.

Injury and squad report

Sao Paulo is missing Andre Silva and Ryan Francisco, with Lucas Moura listed as questionable after injury. Gremio suffers from the absence of M. Braithwaite and M. Villasanti, both out due to injuries. These absences impact squad depth and attacking potency.

Tactical insights for betting

Sao Paulo's 5-3-2 formation emphasizes solid defense and quick counterattacks, which can be effective against Gremio's midfield setup. Gremio's injuries may limit their creative options, making Sao Paulo's disciplined defense and set-piece opportunities critical betting angles.

Match setup and potential scenarios

Given Sao Paulo's recent strong home form and Gremio's injury concerns, the match is likely to be a tight contest. If Sao Paulo scores first, expect a cautious approach from Gremio. A draw at halftime could set the tone, but Sao Paulo's home resilience gives them a good chance to secure a win.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the expected outcome of the match?
The match favors Sao Paulo due to their strong recent form at home and Gremio's injury issues.
Is Sao Paulo likely to win?
Sao Paulo's solid home record suggests a high chance of victory, especially with recent form and injury advantages.
What is a good goals-related bet?
A low-scoring game is probable, with Sao Paulo's defense especially resilient, and under 2.5 goals is a strong lean.