TipStrike

Championship — England

Southampton logo Southampton
4–1 Full time Sat, 31 Oct 2026
QPR logo QPR
  1. 11' Goal: Kuryu Matsuki (Southampton)
  2. HT 1–0
  3. 55' Goal: Cameron Bragg (Southampton)
  4. 66' Goal: Keven Schlotterbeck (Southampton)
  5. 68' Goal: Richard Kone (QPR)
  6. 72' Yellow card: Jonathan Varane (QPR)
  7. 83' Yellow card: Kealey Adamson (QPR)
  8. 86' Yellow card: Jimmy Dunne (QPR)
  9. FT 4–1

Prediction: Southampton vs QPR Betting Tips

Southampton vs QPR predictions and best bets

Southampton vs QPR betting tips point towards Southampton avoiding defeat in this Championship fixture on 31 October 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium. The predictions give the hosts a 45% chance of winning, with a 45% draw probability, so double chance is the clearest starting point. Explore the match predictions, best bets, odds and value picks, with Southampton’s strong home record balanced against QPR’s recent attacking output.

Southampton vs QPR Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match. The match has already kicked off, so tips can no longer be added to a ticket.

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Double Chance
Home or Draw
Tipstrike odd: 1.05
Total Goals Over/Under
Under 3.5
Tipstrike odd: 1.15
Team Total Goals
Southampton Over 0.5
Tipstrike odd: 1.11
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Championship detailed statistics

Standings

# Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
7 Southampton 15 8 4 3 29 15 14 24 L D W W D
8 QPR 15 6 6 3 24 18 6 24 W D L W L
Southampton stats
MP W D L
Overall 14 8 4 2
Home 7 6 1 0
Away 7 2 3 2
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
QPR stats
MP W D L
Overall 14 5 6 3
Home 7 3 3 1
Away 7 2 3 2
CS BTTS FTS
Overall 0 0 0
Home 0 0 0
Away 0 0 0
Under/over: goals scored (matches)
Over Under
Southampton QPR Southampton QPR
0.5 goals 13 10 1 4
1.5 goals 6 6 8 8
2.5 goals 6 3 8 11
3.5 goals 3 2 11 12
4.5 goals 1 1 13 13
Under/over: goals conceded (matches)
Over Under
Southampton QPR Southampton QPR
0.5 goals 11 11 3 3
1.5 goals 3 3 11 11
2.5 goals 0 2 14 12
3.5 goals 0 1 14 13
4.5 goals 0 0 14 14
Southampton cards
Yellow cards
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Red cards
0 min No data
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0 min 0 · 0
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QPR cards
Yellow cards
0 min No data
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
Red cards
0 min 0 · 0
0 min No data
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Formations
Southampton
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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QPR
Formation Matches played
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
0-0-0-0 0
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Why this match sets up this way

Southampton vs QPR takes place on 31 October 2026 at St. Mary's Stadium in the Championship. The supplied forecast gives Southampton a 45% win probability, a 45% draw probability and QPR 10%; its main call is Southampton or draw. Southampton have won five and drawn one of their six home league matches, while QPR have collected two away wins and three away draws. The recent H2H results also favour Southampton, including a 5-0 home win in February 2026 and a 2-1 away win in November 2025. No league-table positions or injury updates are provided; the supplied squads list players but do not confirm availability beyond that. Market map: Double Chance, Match Winner, Total Goals, Team Total Goals, Half-Time Result, First Half Goals, Correct Score, Clean Sheet and Handicap.

Team news and squads

The supplied squad lists include Southampton players such as Daniel Peretz, J. Ward-Prowse, F. Azaz and C. Larin, and QPR players including P. Charles, I. Chair, N. Madsen and R. Burrell. No injuries, suspensions or doubtful players are identified in the available information, so there is no confirmed team-news adjustment to the forecast. Check confirmed line-ups before placing bets.

Tactical betting angle

The clearest angle is Southampton’s home resilience rather than an outright-win certainty: the prediction assigns the home side 45% and the draw another 45%. Southampton average 2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded at home in the supplied league data, while QPR average 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded away. Both teams have gone under 3.5 goals in 10 of their 12 listed league matches, supporting a lower total-goals line. Southampton also scored 28% of their league goals in the final 15 minutes, which keeps a late home goal in the scenario mix. These figures support the listed picks, but do not make the more speculative score and half-time selections low risk.

Game-state scenarios

If Southampton score first, their home record—five wins and one draw in six league games—puts them in a strong position to protect the lead. If the match is level at half-time, the recent H2H record shows Southampton have still found ways to win, including 2-1 and 5-0 home victories. Late goals are possible: 28% of Southampton’s league goals have come in the 76th–90th minute, compared with 10% of QPR’s.

Southampton vs QPR FAQs

What is the best bet for Southampton vs QPR?
Southampton or draw is the main lean. The prediction gives Southampton a 45% win probability and a 45% draw probability, while Southampton are unbeaten at home in the supplied league record.
Are goals expected in Southampton vs QPR?
Under 3.5 goals is a supported goals angle: both sides have recorded under 3.5 in 10 of their 12 listed league matches. Southampton’s home scoring average is strong, so this is a total-goals lean rather than a call for a goalless game.
Who is favoured to win Southampton vs QPR?
The forecast lists Southampton or draw as its advice and gives QPR a 10% win probability. Southampton have also won the two most recent H2H meetings listed in the data.