Sweden vs Slovenia is set to be a fiercely contested qualifier with both sides eager to consolidate their positions in the group. Sweden’s disciplined midfield and organizational defense could give them the edge, but Slovenia’s compact defense and counter-attacking prowess make them dangerous opponents. Recent head-to-head results show close contests, with Sweden slightly holding the upper hand in control and scoring.
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These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Sweden is expected to start strongly, aiming to take an early lead, though Slovenia's resilience may see the score remain tight at halftime. The second half could see Sweden pushing for a decisive advantage, but Slovenia might defend stoutly.
Given the recent form and head-to-head data, Sweden looks poised to secure at least a draw, with a strong chance of winning or drawing with an Asian handicap of 0.0. The goal line is set at -1.5 for Sweden, making it a plausible choice for a safer bet.
A cautious prediction suggests under 3.5 goals in the match, considering the defensive records and recent form. Both teams' recent fixtures reflect a tendency towards lower-scoring games, making this a prudent betting market.
Both teams have demonstrated defensive vulnerabilities, but their offensive capabilities suggest both teams to score is a plausible outcome. However, considering recent matches, a focus on defensive solidity could see one team failing to breach the other's backline.
Sweden is expected to narrowly defeat Slovenia on November 18, 2025, primarily due to their superior recent form and head-to-head records. The tactical setup favors Sweden’s balanced approach, but Slovenia remains resilient, making the encounter closer than the odds suggest.
Historically, Sweden has dominated Slovenia in recent fixtures, winning 71% of the last encounters, including a 2-2 draw in their most recent meeting in 2025. Slovenia’s last win was a 2-0 victory away, but overall, Sweden holds a clear edge.
There are no significant injury concerns currently reported for either team, allowing both to field their strongest lineups for this crucial qualifier.
Expected formations include Sweden deploying a 3-5-2 or 3-1-4-2, emphasizing midfield control and wing play. Slovenia may opt for a 4-4-2 or 3-1-4-2 setup, focusing on a sturdy defensive line and quick counter-attacks. Both teams are tactically flexible, but their core approaches differ.
Sweden’s recent form has been poor, with only 8% positive results and a string of losses, indicating struggles in attack and defensive lapses. Slovenia’s form is slightly better but still inconsistent, emphasizing the importance of tactical discipline and resilience for both teams.
See below all the main information for this match.
Sweden is likely to play with a 3-5-2 or 3-1-4-2 formation, emphasizing a balanced midfield and solid defense, while Slovenia may adopt a 4-4-2 or 3-1-4-2, focusing on a sturdy defensive organization and counter-attacks. Both teams have used similar formations previously.
Sweden’s tactical approach involves a combination of possession and counter-attacking, with a focus on midfield control. Slovenia tends to be more defensive, relying on quick counters. Sweden's pressing intensity is moderate, while Slovenia employs a tighter, more disciplined pressing style, which could influence the pace of the match.
Sweden historically adopts a mix of possession and quick transitions, often controlling midfield and looking for openings through wide players. Slovenia's approach is more counter-oriented, with a solid defensive setup and swift play on counter-attacks. The tactical differences could favor Sweden's control, but Slovenia’s disciplined defense might limit Swedish opportunities.
