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On February 22, 2026, Serie A's AC Milan hosts Parma at the iconic San Siro. With Milan’s recent impressive form and Parma's injury issues, the main lean is towards a narrow home win or a draw. Discover the best odds and value picks for this exciting Serie A clash.
These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
AC Milan
Stats
|
AC Milan
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25 | 15 | 9 | 1 |
| Home | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 |
| Away | 13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
|
AC Milan
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 44% | 52% | 4% |
| Home | 42% | 58% | 0% |
| Away | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Parma
Stats
|
Parma
|
MP | W | D | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 |
| Home | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Away | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
|
Parma
|
CS | BTTS | FTS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32% | 20% | 48% |
| Home | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Away | 42% | 8% | 50% |
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan
Parma
AC Milan enters this fixture with strong recent form, winning 73% of their last five matches and maintaining good defensive solidity. Parma, with recent mixed results, faces challenges due to injuries to key defenders A. Circati and M. Frigan. The match at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza promises an intense contest, with Milan favored to control possession and create more scoring opportunities.
AC Milan's squad is missing S. Gimenez due to ankle injury, which may shift the defensive setup. Parma also faces setbacks with key defenders A. Circati and M. Frigan out through injuries, impacting their back line. These absences could tilt the game in Milan's favor, especially in attack and set-piece situations.
If AC Milan scores first against Parma, expect a controlled game with Milan trying to consolidate their lead early. Should the score be level at halftime, the match likely opens up in the second half, with both sides risking more to secure the win. Late goals are common given Milan's recent form and Parma's resilience.
Milan's recent games show a balanced mixture of possession and chance creation, often relying on quick counters. Parma may focus on structured defense and set pieces, exploiting their height advantage. Betting on Milan to have more corners or a higher expected goals count aligns with their attacking approach and Parma's defensive vulnerabilities.
See below all the main information for this match.
AC Milan is considered the favorite with a 45% chance to win or draw, and a prediction leaning towards a narrow victory or draw.
The match is likely to have a total goals line at around 2.5 goals, reflecting Milan's strong attack and Parma's occasional scoring.
AC Milan's recent form and head-to-head advantage support a bet on Milan avoiding defeat, with double chance options being strong value.
The match at the San Siro suggests Milan will dominate possession, but Parma's set-piece threats could still threaten to score.
In the last matchups, AC Milan has a better record, with recent wins including a 3-2 victory at Parma and a 2-1 home win, which support a betting bias towards Milan achieving at least a draw.
