Alaves will look to leverage their home advantage to frustrate the high-flying Real Madrid, who have an impeccable record against the Basque team. Madrid’s attacking trident and midfield control are expected to dominate possession, while Alaves may focus on compact defending and quick counters. The tactical battle will revolve around Madrid’s mastery of ball retention and Alaves’ resilience in defense, making Madrid slight favorites but alert to counter-threats.
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These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.
Madrid often takes an early lead and controls the first half, which could be a key indicator of the full-time outcome. A bet on Madrid leading at halftime and winning the match is recommended.
Over 2.5 goals seems appealing given Madrid's attack prowess and Alaves' recent defensive lapses. The predicted scoreline supports an over 2.5 goals bet.
Both teams have scored in recent meetings, but given Madrid's recent clean sheets and Alaves' struggles to score at home, betting against both teams scoring could be prudent.
Based on recent form and head-to-head data, backing Real Madrid with a -1.5 Asian Handicap might be lucrative, considering their history of comfortable wins at Villa-Gasteiz.
Real Madrid is favored to secure a win or a draw at Vitoria-Gasteiz due to their superior recent form and historical success. Alaves face a tough challenge against Madrid's potent attack and tactical discipline, making Madrid the likely winners.
Real Madrid has won all recent meetings against Alaves, including dominant 4-0 and 3-0 victories. Historically, Madrid enjoys a significant edge, especially at Mendizorrotza, reinforcing their favoritism for this fixture.
Both teams have a full squad available for this fixture, with no significant injuries reported. Madrid’s squad depth and consistent selection pattern give them an advantage tactically.
Madrid is expected to set up in their standard 4-3-3 formation, emphasizing attack with players like Mbappé and Vinícius Jr. Alaves might opt for a 4-4-2 to maximize defensive solidity while looking for counterattack opportunities.
Real Madrid is in excellent form, with a recent streak of victories, especially on the road. Alaves, however, displays inconsistent results, struggling with defensive lapses and scoring difficulties. Madrid’s superior form and tactical discipline give them the edge in this fixture.
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Historically, Real Madrid has dominated the contests against Alaves, securing frequent victories especially at the Santiago Bernabéu. Recent encounters have continued this trend with Madrid often emerging as the clear favorite.
Real Madrid is highly favored to win against Alaves, with a percentage chance of around 45%, and the overall prediction suggests a double chance on a draw or Real Madrid. The teams' form and head-to-head performance support this outlook.
Alaves has struggled against top-tier opponents, particularly at home, with minimal recent wins. Conversely, Real Madrid's consistent form and historical success make them the likely winners on December 14, 2025.
The key absences may impact tactical approaches, with Alaves likely to focus on a defensive setup, while Madrid, boasting a strong away record, might opt for an attack-oriented strategy. Expect Madrid to capitalize on set pieces and countering tactics against Alaves.
Notably, Alaves has a mixed recent form with more losses than wins, especially at home. Real Madrid, on the other hand, has been solid both at home and away, frequently securing wins with potent attacking displays.
Historically, Real Madrid has achieved dominant victories at Vitoria-Gasteiz, including a notable 4-0 win in 2018 and several close contests. This historical performance supports Madrid as favorites in the upcoming fixture.
Tactical setups are expected to involve Alaves deploying a 4-4-2 or 4-1-4-1, emphasizing a defensive approach, while Madrid will likely use a 4-3-3 or 4-2-3-1, focusing on attacking play and possession."
Alaves tends to adopt a balanced approach with a slight emphasis on possession, while Real Madrid favors a counter-attacking style, utilizing quick transitions and high pressing to exploit defensive lapses.
First League
Premier League
