Segunda División - Spain
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Almeria vs Burgos Sun, 14 December 2025 - 17:30 Stadium: UD Almeria Stadium
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Segunda División
Almeria logo
Almeria vs Burgos
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Sun, 14 December 2025 - 17:30 Stadium: UD Almeria Stadium

Prediction: Almeria vs Burgos: Match Preview & Expert Predictions

Almeria vs Burgos: Tactical Lineup & Strategic Outlook

Almeria and Burgos come into this match with contrasting recent performances. Almeria's home record is impressive, winning their last three at UD Almeria Stadium, while Burgos has struggled away. Tactical setups will likely see Almeria press high and dominate possession, with Burgos relying on quick counters and disciplined defending. The tactical battle will be pivotal, with Almeria’s possession-based style contrasting Burgos’ counter-approach. Expect Almeria to push for early goals, using their structured midfield to control the game from the outset, while Burgos might look for openings on the break. This match could hinge on set-piece opportunities and defensive organization.

Check out our complete thoughts below.

Match Betting & Markets

TipStrike Betting predictions favor Almeria to avoid defeat, with a double chance on Almeria or draw. The total goals are projected to stay under 2.5, aligning with their recent tight encounters and defensive solidity.

Almeria vs Burgos Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.

👉 Our prediction is: First Half & Full Time: Almeria to Lead

Almeria is expected to take an early lead, and their control could see them maintain the advantage at halftime, potentially extending it in the second half.

👉 Our prediction is: BTTS: Cautiously Optimistic for Goals

Both teams have shown the tendency for scoring in their recent fixtures, but defensive resilience suggests a cautious outlook, making Both Teams To Score (BTTS) less probable.

👉 Our prediction is: Goals Market: Under 2.5 Goals

Under 2.5 goals is the most probable market, given the defensive records and recent low-scoring matches.

👉 Our prediction is: Asian Handicap: Slight edges for Almeria

Almeria is likely to be the stronger side but may not have a huge advantage. Considering the recent form and head-to-head results, a small handicap favoring Almeria on the Asian market appears reasonable, with a potential for a draw.

Almeria expected to beat Burgos on December 14 due to better recent form and home advantage.

On December 14, Almeria faces Burgos at the UD Almeria Stadium. Almeria appears to have the edge based on recent form and home advantage, likely leading to a win or draw. Defensive stability and midfield control will be key factors.

Head-to-Head Results Favor Almeria

Almeria holds a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters, winning 75% of their last 4 matches against Burgos, including recent victories with clear margins. This historical trend favors Almeria in the upcoming fixture.

Injury Report Summary

No major injuries reported for either team, indicating that both squads will likely field their strongest lineups.

Predicted Lineups & Tactics

Almeria is expected to line up in a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and wing play. Burgos is likely to deploy their usual 4-2-3-1 or 4-4-2, focusing on organized defense and counter-attacks.

Team Form Assessment

Almeria's form remains solid at 67%, with a high home win rate and consistent goal-scoring. Burgos’s form has waned to 27%, especially in away fixtures, highlighting their defensive vulnerabilities.

Almeria vs Burgos: Expert Prediction and Tactical Preview

See below all the main information for this match.

Almeria has shown stronger recent form, winning 67% of their last five matches, and maintains a solid home record. Burgos's form has dipped to 27%, with a weaker away record. Given their recent head-to-head results, Almeria is slightly favored.

Almeria has demonstrated consistent performance at home, winning their last three matches with a strong midfield presence. Burgos struggles away from home but has shown resilience in their recent meetings, though they are less likely to secure a win in Almeria’s stadium.

The key to predicting this match lies in Almeria's superior recent form and home advantage. Burgos's away form is weaker, and their defensive record is not as resilient. Expect Almeria to leverage their home strength and probable tactical setup.

Today's Predictions