Serie A - Italy
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Atalanta vs AS Roma Sat, 03 January 2026 - 19:45 Stadium: New Balance Arena
AS Roma logo
Serie A
Atalanta logo
Atalanta vs AS Roma
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Sat, 03 January 2026 - 19:45 Stadium: New Balance Arena

Prediction: Atalanta vs AS Roma: Match Preview & Expert Tips

Match Preview & Tactical Insights

The upcoming fixture between Atalanta and AS Roma at the New Balance Arena promises an intriguing encounter. Atalanta's recent performances show a balanced approach, combining solid defense with swift counters. Roma competes fiercely on the road and has been resilient. Their previous matches reveal a tendency for low-scoring setups and tactical battles centered on controlling the midfield and exploiting limited chances. Expect a tight game where Atalanta’s home advantage and recent dominance could be decisive, yet Roma’s counter-attacking threat remains a danger. The tactical interplay and recent form suggest a competitive, closely fought match, potentially concluding with a narrow Atalanta victory or a draw.

Check out our complete thoughts below.

Betting Tips & Markets

TipStrike Considering recent form and head-to-head trends, betting on Atalanta or a draw seems wise, with a focus on under 3.5 total goals. This wager benefits from the teams' defensive resilience and mutual respect in recent encounters.

Atalanta vs AS Roma Betting Tips

These are our top betting tips and predictions for the match.

👉 Our prediction is: BTTS - Yes

Both teams have experienced scoring difficulties in recent matches, but given head-to-head scoring history, a Both Teams To Score (BTTS) Yes option is plausible.

👉 Our prediction is: Asian Handicap & Goals

A safe bet is for Atalanta or a draw combined with under 3.5 goals, reflecting their recent defensive solidity and balanced attacking approach.

👉 Our prediction is: Goals Market: Over/Under 3.5

Under 3.5 goals is a solid option based on recent defensive performances, although intense pressing could generate swift counter opportunities and goal chances.

👉 Our prediction is: First Half & Full Time Result

Expect a cautious start, with a possible draw at halftime, as both sides assess each other’s strengths before pushing for the full-time result.

Match Forecast

Atalanta vs AS Roma on January 3, 2026, is predicted to end in a win or draw for Atalanta, supplied by their recent consistent form and head-to-head advantage. Expect a low-scoring, tightly contested game.

Head-to-Head Summary

Atalanta has a dominant record in recent meetings with AS Roma, winning 93% of their last encounters at home, including a 2-1 victory in their last fixture. Roma's last win away was over a year ago, indicating Atalanta's home advantage.

Injury & Suspension Update

AS Roma will be without E. Bove due to heart problems, which could impact their midfield depth and mobility. Atalanta is expected to field their full squad, giving them an edge in tactical flexibility.

Predicted Lineups & Tactical Comparison

Atalanta likely to deploy a 3-4-2-1 formation focusing on aggressive pressing and quick counter-attacks, while AS Roma may employ a similar setup aimed at controlling possession and exploiting counter opportunities. This tactical similarity suggests a close contest with tactical nuances deciding the outcome.

Recent Form & Performance

Atalanta have displayed a 60% recent form rate, balancing their attack and defense, while Roma's form hovers at 40%, with performances indicating cautious but capable play. Historically, Atalanta’s home record against Roma favors a positive outlook for the hosts.

Atalanta vs AS Roma Prediction & Tactical Preview

See below all the main information for this match.

The match is scheduled for January 3, 2026, at New Balance Arena, Bergamo. Atalanta are slight favorites based on recent form and head-to-head performance. Expect a competitive game with Atalanta slightly edging AS Roma in a match likely to be closely contested.

Atalanta shows solid recent form with a 60% success rate over their last 5 matches, combining attack and defense effectively. AS Roma's form is slightly weaker at 40%. Historically, Atalanta holds a slight edge in head-to-head encounters, which boosts their confidence ahead of this fixture.

The predicted winner is Atalanta, with a 45% probability of victory, and an equal chance for a draw. The forecast suggests a possible scoreline of Atalanta winning by at least a 1.5 goal margin, with an under 3.5 total goals, reflecting the teams' defensive strength and attacking capabilities.

Atalanta are expected to line up in a 3-4-2-1 formation, emphasizing pressing and quick transitions, while AS Roma might deploy a 3-4-2-1 or similar formation focusing on possession and counter-attacks. Atalanta tend to press intensely, disrupting opponents' build-up, whereas Roma prefer a possession-based style, looking to exploit counter-attacking opportunities, which could influence the match’s flow and final result.

Today's Predictions